Do We Know Who Will Drop Out? A Review of the Predictors of Dropping out of High School: Precision, Sensitivity, and Specificity
Item
Title
Do We Know Who Will Drop Out? A Review of the Predictors of Dropping out of High School: Precision, Sensitivity, and Specificity
Abstract/Description
The purpose of this study is to review the literature on the most accurate indicators of students at risk of dropping out of high school. We used Relative Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis to compare the sensitivity and specificity of 110 dropout flags across 36 studies. Our results indicate that 1) ROC analysis provides a means to compare the accuracy of different dropout indicators, 2) the majority of dropout flags to date have high precision yet lack accuracy, 3) longitudinal growth models provided the most accurate flags, while 4) the most accurate cross-sectional flags examine low or failing grades. We provide recommendations for future policy and practice.
Author/creator
Date
In publication
Volume
96
Issue
2
Pages
77-100
Resource type
Research/Scholarly Media
Resource status/form
Published Text
Scholarship genre
Empirical
Open access/full-text available
Yes
Peer reviewed
Yes
ISSN
0018-1498
Citation
Bowers, A. J., Sprott, R., & Taff, S. A. (2012). Do We Know Who Will Drop Out? A Review of the Predictors of Dropping out of High School: Precision, Sensitivity, and Specificity. The High School Journal, 96(2), 77–100.
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